The BJP Wins UP Again, while the AAP Wins Punjab - Exit Polls

  • March 8, 2022, 10:36 a.m.

A poll of exit polls predicted after voting ended that Arvind Kejriwal's Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) would sweep Punjab and Uttar Pradesh would stay firmly with the BJP, a poll of exit polls predicted after voting ended for state elections that are seen to be the semi-final ahead of the 2024 national election.

A health warning: exit polls often get it wrong.

Six exit polls indicate that the Yogi Adityanath-led BJP is likely to win another term by a landslide, signaling six exit polls. An aggregate of exit polls gives the BJP and its allies 241 of the state's 403 seats (the majority-mark is at 202), - with Akhilesh Yadav's Samajwadi Party finishing second with 142 seats.

An average of 10 polls predicts a remarkable win for AAP in its first major state, Punjab. The exit polls gave AAP 63 seats in the 117-seat Punjab, with the majority mark at 59. If this happens, AAP will take power in the first full state; Delhi, where it has been in power since 2015, is partly under the Centre.

The ruling Congress is set to finish second with 28 seats in the assembly, the polls say, indicating that the party may pay the price for intense infighting. In the months preceding the vote, Navjot Singh Sidhu bickered with veteran Amarinder Singh as well as the man who replaced him, Charanjit Singh Channi.

The BJP, which joined hands with Amarinder Singh, may remain a minor player in Punjab, with its former ally, Akali Dal, predicted to win 19 seats.

A poll of 11 exit polls predicts a close fight, with the BJP marginally ahead but both the ruling party and the Congress within striking distance of power. Exit polls say the BJP could win 35 seats and the Congress 32. The AAP could land one seat, the polls say.

The poll of exit polls also foresees a neck-and-neck fight in Goa, with the BJP and the Congress both tipped to win 16 of the state's 40 seats, well below the majority mark of 21. Mamata Banerjee's Trinamool is given three seats by 10 exit polls, which suggests that it could end up playing the kingmaker in a fight for a majority. The 2017 election saw Congress fail to take power despite emerging as the single-largest, thanks to key crossovers.

An average of six exit polls shows the BJP is set to emerge as the largest party in Manipur. The BJP is likely to win 30 seats in the 60-seat assembly, the exit polls say, just one below the majority mark. They say the Congress may win 13 seats.

The last round of voting in Uttar Pradesh today wrapped up months-long polling in UP, Punjab, Goa, Manipur, and Uttarakhand.

Author : Rajdhani Delhi Representative

Rajdhani delhi representative

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